Ukraine's Yanukovich refuses to relent in Tymoshenko case

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton during a meeting with President Viktor Yanukovych in Munich on Saturday expressed her concern over the politically motivated prosecution of Yulia Tymoshenko, according to the Official web site of Yulia Tymoshenko.

“The Secretary made clear our concern about selective prosecutions of political opposition members, particularly the case of Yulia Tymoshenko and her health and the conditions of her confinement,” a senior State Department official said during a special briefing on Saturday.

Hillary Clinton made clear that the Tymoshenko case "was a matter not just of legal reform but of all of us wanting to support Ukraine’s European integration and to improve Ukraine’s image and reputation,”

During her visit to the U.S. last week, Eugenia Tymoshenko, Yulia Tymoshenko’s daughter, met with Hillary Clinton and gave her a letter from her mother.

As well going to pour a bid of oil on flames

See also. PACE indeed keeps silence on Tymoshenko’s case having a certain ground for doing it – http://www.youtube.com/watch...

This is the record of the telephone conversation between ex-head of PACE Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu and head of Ukrainian delegation to PACE Yulia Lyovochkina who is at the same time a member of Party of Regions at the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine and also full sibling of head of president Yanukovich administration. Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu reports what was done to delay PACE discussion of the situation in Ukraine including the case of Timoshenko imprisonment.

Ukraine will just get to be a rogue state that is isolated in the eyes of the world, if they do not update their laws and release Tymoshenko. Ukraine will then just be part of Russia again it seems. It looks like Yanukovich's plan is to re - integrate Ukraine into Russia. Unfortunately for him, Russia is also an unstable pressure cooker, that is changing.The Ukrainian Government is acting like Nazi Germany in the 1930s, and will meet the same miserable end as Nazi Germany, but more quickly.If pushed, too hard West Ukraine will simply secede from the Ukraine state and will form The Free Ukrainian Republic, and those fanatics in East Ukraine can re -join Russia. Good riddance.

Amicuska, may I suggest to set your funny cap on your head a bit tighter, it´s getting pretty windy in Calgary.
We don´t want to see it flying round Calgary.

Yes, I hope USA and Europe smacks Yanukovich and the Ukraine Government with economic and travel sanctions soon. Yanukovich strikes me as being mentally slow,similar to Pissky and Lucy , who incidententally appear to be homosexual perverts with a fixation on anti semitism and deviant sexual paraphilias. Yanukovich suffers from hyper - gonadism and gigantism and a low IQ, but is probably somewhat heterosexual but a deviant in any event. All those those types never see the big issues, until you smack them in the face with your dick though !

Henryk Gottmaster wrote:

..If pushed, too hard West Ukraine will simply secede from the Ukraine state and will form The Free Ukrainian Republic, and those fanatics in East Ukraine can re -join Russia. Good riddance.

Correct, movement for separation is start forming in West Ukraine.

, in the short to medium term, of the Black Sea Feet deal is that it demonstrates that Yanukovych is not an economic reformer committed to introducing genuine market relations in Ukraine. The deal rests on an anti-market approach to economics and shows that Yanukovych is less interested in making Ukraine modern and productive than in acquiring easy money to sustain his hyper-centralized rule and make painful reforms unnecessary. Yanukovych, in sum, is rapidly transforming Ukraine into a backward sultanistic regime, in which authoritarianism and corruption flourish and the economy stagnates. Such regimes are inherently unstable and, as they lose the support of even their die-hard supporters in the medium term, become vulnerable to people power, radical movements, and terrorism.


3) The most immediate—and most likely—short-term consequence of Yanukovych’s anti-Ukrainian and anti-democratic measures is the mobilization of Ukrainian democrats and the radicalization of Ukrainian nationalists. The harder Yanukovych pushes, the harder will they push back. A second Orange Revolution would be the best-case outcome, but rather more likely is the abandonment of moderation by Ukrainians fed up with being treated as second-class citizens by a chauvinistic regime determined to push Ukrainian identity into Bantustans. As social tensions rise, both violence and an attempt by Western Ukraine to secede become increasingly conceivable. Yanukovych will try to crack down, but how the resulting conflict will be resolved is anybody’s guess. One thing is sure: Ukraine will be destabilized.

End of Ukraine and future of Eurasia
May 7, 2010 at 16:59 | Alexander J. Motyl For the first time in 20 years, Ukraine’s disappearance as a state is imaginable. Since Ukraine is a pivotal state of great geopolitical significance to the stability of both Europe and Asia, its collapse could have considerable geopolitical consequences.

If Ukraine fails as a state, future historians will place the blame on four factors:

· NATO enlargement up to Ukraine’s western border. Expanding the North Atlantic Treaty Organization to include East Central Europe and the Baltic states effectively placed Ukraine in a strategically untenable no-man’s land between a united West and an increasingly hostile Russia.

· President Viktor Yushchenko’s catastrophic mismanagement of the country in 2005-2009. Yushchenko neglected the economy, permitted corruption to flourish, demoralized the population, polarized the country, and destroyed the unity of pro-Western Ukrainian elites.

· Europe’s criminal indifference to Ukraine’s strategic dilemmas and experiment in democracy after the Orange Revolution of 2004. Europe—and especially Germany—courted authoritarian Russia and turned its back on Ukraine’s pleas for assistance, at precisely the time that even a vague promise of eventual membership in the European Union would have united Ukraine’s pro-Western elites around a democratic reform agenda.

· President Viktor Yanukovych’s rush to dismantle democracy and destroy Ukraine’s Ukrainian identity. In the two months that Yanukovych has been in office, he and his comrades in the Party of Regions have launched a full-scale rollback of Ukraine’s democratic institutions, a full-scale attack on Ukrainian language and culture, and a full-scale shift toward Russia.

Yanukovych’s actions could result in three possible scenarios, arranged below according to long-, medium-, and short-term probability:

1) Least likely in the short term is Ukraine’s transformation into a vassal state of Russia. Although critics of Yanukovych’s agreement to extend the Black Sea Fleet’s base in Sevastopol for 30 years accuse him of selling out to Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, the short-term reality is that the fleet would have stayed in the Crimea until 2017 anyway. The long-term prospects, however, are different. The continued presence of the fleet until 2047—in conjunction with Yanukovych’s apparent desire to forge the closest possible economic, cultural, political, and military ties with Russia—will draw Ukraine into Russia’s sphere of influence and could then, in a process of creeping re-imperialization, transform Ukraine into a Russian protectorate.

2) The real importance

1) Least likely in the short term is Ukraine’s transformation into a vassal state of Russia. 2) The real importance, in the short to medium term, of the Black Sea Feet deal is that it demonstrates that Yanukovych is not an economic reformer committed to introducing genuine market relations in Ukraine. The deal rests on an anti-market approach to economics and shows that Yanukovych is less interested in making Ukraine modern and productive than in acquiring easy money to sustain his hyper-centralized rule and make painful reforms unnecessary. Yanukovych, in sum, is rapidly transforming Ukraine into a backward sultanistic regime, in which authoritarianism and corruption flourish and the economy stagnates. Such regimes are inherently unstable and, as they lose the support of even their die-hard supporters in the medium term, become vulnerable to people power, radical movements, and terrorism.


3) The most immediate—and most likely—short-term consequence of Yanukovych’s anti-Ukrainian and anti-democratic measures is the mobilization of Ukrainian democrats and the radicalization of Ukrainian nationalists. The harder Yanukovych pushes, the harder will they push back. A second Orange Revolution would be the best-case outcome, but rather more likely is the abandonment of moderation by Ukrainians fed up with being treated as second-class citizens by a chauvinistic regime determined to push Ukrainian identity into Bantustans. As social tensions rise, both violence and an attempt by Western Ukraine to secede become increasingly conceivable. Yanukovych will try to crack down, but how the resulting conflict will be resolved is anybody’s guess. One thing is sure: Ukraine will be destabilized.

What would be the consequences for Eurasia of the end of Ukraine?

First, the European project will collapse. If the European Union is unwilling or unable to defend democracy in its back yard and to prevent Ukraine’s transformation into a second Yugoslavia, then the EU is as meaningless as its commitment to supposedly humane European values is hollow.

Are such trends inevitable? Europe could easily correct Ukraine’s trajectory by promoting Ukraine’s integration into Euro-Atlantic structures—but will not as long as it frames the issue as Ukrainian democracy vs Russian gas. The United States could impress Yanukovych with the need to keep his sultanistic ambitions in check—but won’t as long as it deems Russia indispensable to its geopolitical designs.

That means that Ukrainians alone will have to stop the destruction of their state. The chances of such an outcome are actually greater than Yanukovych may think. He’s already alienated one third to one half of the country and transformed most of its truculent intellectual and cultural elites into his enemies. As the country continues to stagnate economically under his sultanistic rule, disenchantment will spread to those Ukrainians who are still willing to give Yanukovych a chance. As the gap between his increasingly brittle sultanistic regime and the increasingly angry population grows, elite defections will multiply and a second Orange Revolution could very well take place.

Whatever the scenario—vassalage, popular upheaval, or civil conflict—Ukraine will be unstable. And Yanukovych will go down in history as even more ineffective than the hapless Yushchenko.

ukrainians hate Januk. It is nothing similar to enemity for Juszenko, nothing close.