Overconfidence Suggested in Supreme Court Predictions

There are 3 comments on the Jun 27, 2012, FiveThirtyEight story titled Overconfidence Suggested in Supreme Court Predictions. In it, FiveThirtyEight reports that:

Bettors at the prediction market Intrade are quite confident that the Supreme Court will declare the individual mandate unconstitutional when it rules on the government's health care bill.

Join the discussion below, or Read more at FiveThirtyEight.

Surprised

Weaverville, NC

#1 Jun 27, 2012
I'm rather surprised. There's a lot of money riding on this.
harvey

Columbus, OH

#2 Jun 28, 2012
Court's gone against the bettors. The individual mandates stands as Constitutional. Roberts comes down on the 'liberal' side.

Wow.
harvey

Columbus, OH

#3 Jun 28, 2012
From SCOTUSblog:

The bottom line: the entire ACA is upheld, with the exception that the federal government's power to terminate states' Medicaid funds is narrowly read.

Wow...wow. Didn't really expect that.

Tell me when this thread is updated:

Subscribe Now Add to my Tracker

Add your comments below

Characters left: 4000

Please note by submitting this form you acknowledge that you have read the Terms of Service and the comment you are posting is in compliance with such terms. Be polite. Inappropriate posts may be removed by the moderator. Send us your feedback.

Top Stories - Supreme Court Discussions

Title Updated Last By Comments
News Gay marriage pioneer, free from skeptics, prepa... Apr 24 Hasaun Lee 1
News Same-sex marriage opponents urge Supreme Court ... Apr 23 Mikey 98
News Supreme Court upholds North Carolina's new limi... (Oct '14) Apr 21 LAVON AFFAIr 6
News Supreme Court: Medicaid Providers Can't Sue Sta... Apr 2 dar 2
News Supreme Court rules against Alabama redistricti... Mar '15 Go Blue Forever 2
News Alabama Supreme Court halts same-sex marriage Mar '15 Khatru 66
Fight over attorneys fees reaches Supreme Court Feb '15 Patriot8251 1
More from around the web