Overconfidence Suggested in Supreme Court Predictions

Full story: FiveThirtyEight

Bettors at the prediction market Intrade are quite confident that the Supreme Court will declare the individual mandate unconstitutional when it rules on the government's health care bill.
1 - 3 of 3 Comments Last updated Jun 28, 2012

Weaverville, NC

#1 Jun 27, 2012
I'm rather surprised. There's a lot of money riding on this.

Columbus, OH

#2 Jun 28, 2012
Court's gone against the bettors. The individual mandates stands as Constitutional. Roberts comes down on the 'liberal' side.


Columbus, OH

#3 Jun 28, 2012
From SCOTUSblog:

The bottom line: the entire ACA is upheld, with the exception that the federal government's power to terminate states' Medicaid funds is narrowly read.

Wow...wow. Didn't really expect that.

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