May 22, 2012 | Posted by: roboblogger
Catastrophic nuclear accidents such as the core meltdowns in Chernobyl and Fukushima are more likely to happen than previously assumed.
Because they say so. Such predictions are worth less than the paper that they are printed on.
I say if only we would be that lucky.
There were 3 accidents of level 7 per 40 years and 400 reactors (not accounting for RBMKs)- Fukushima Dai Ichi 1-3.
With a 10 fold increase in safety in the post-TMI designs (see Fukushima Dai-Ni), that's one per 50,000 reactor year.
So if there are 5000 reactors worldwide, one can expect one accident per 10 years.
Of course 5000 nuclear reactors would pretty much solve ALL coal + hydrocarbon pollution. So it would be a very, extremely good tradeoff.
Tell me when this thread is updated:
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